Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.050930 0.059795 0.069696 0.081569 0.095413 0.111043 0.130027
2025-08-10 0.037883 0.049590 0.064093 0.083356 0.108249 0.139317 0.181032
2025-08-17 0.028602 0.040719 0.056977 0.080331 0.112975 0.156945 0.220649
2025-08-24 0.023304 0.035555 0.053105 0.079993 0.120065 0.177501 0.266022
2025-08-31 0.019304 0.031279 0.049440 0.078859 0.125204 0.195284 0.309193
2025-09-07 0.016889 0.028873 0.047989 0.080526 0.134359 0.219698 0.365064
2025-09-14 0.014498 0.026041 0.045329 0.079685 0.139143 0.237558 0.412528
2025-09-21 0.012373 0.023272 0.042292 0.077634 0.141407 0.251278 0.454506
2025-09-28 0.010581 0.020785 0.039334 0.075196 0.142490 0.262855 0.493891
2025-10-05 0.009669 0.019774 0.038849 0.077108 0.151541 0.289351 0.563036
2025-10-12 0.008729 0.018552 0.037778 0.077717 0.158139 0.312009 0.627648
2025-10-19 0.007883 0.017385 0.036636 0.077988 0.164038 0.333910 0.693280
2025-10-26 0.007194 0.016461 0.035889 0.079040 0.171809 0.360714 0.772731
2025-11-02 0.006700 0.015885 0.035792 0.081450 0.182737 0.395231 0.872479
2025-11-09 0.005844 0.014358 0.033435 0.078615 0.182038 0.405559 0.922440
2025-11-16 0.005287 0.013437 0.032285 0.078307 0.186833 0.428078 1.001563
2025-11-23 0.004745 0.012467 0.030881 0.077201 0.189633 0.446487 1.073662
2025-11-30 0.004434 0.012020 0.030647 0.078834 0.199036 0.480811 1.186417
2025-12-07 0.004017 0.011236 0.029479 0.078011 0.202396 0.501515 1.269504
2025-12-14 0.003588 0.010348 0.027929 0.076003 0.202540 0.514572 1.335623
2025-12-21 0.003190 0.009485 0.026320 0.073614 0.201392 0.524319 1.394670
2025-12-28 0.003021 0.009239 0.026311 0.075487 0.211612 0.563569 1.533511
2026-01-04 0.002814 0.008850 0.025857 0.076083 0.218493 0.595097 1.656042